Your odds are small. Here is the number.
These read from the token and pot contracts, in your browser, at the block shown. Neither contract exists, so all four are dashes. None of them will ever be a projection.
How weight works
Balance, multiplied by how long you held it. Across the whole fill period, not sampled at the end.
Holding for the whole period
A balance that sat through the entire fill period carries its full weight. This is the case the mechanism is built for, and the only one it rewards.
Buying just before the draw
Carries almost none. The multiplier is time, so a position opened minutes before a draw contributes minutes, not the period. There is no way to buy weight directly.
What the number means
A share of the pot is not a share of a payout. It is the probability that the whole share goes to you, and for almost everyone it will be a fraction of a percent.
The shape this has to keep
No ticket. No entry fee. No separate purchase to participate.
Weight comes purely from holdings and time. There is nothing else to buy.
Randomness is verifiable, and the proof is published with every draw.
This has to be true in the contract, not only in the copy on this page.
Counsel before mainnet, and geo-restriction where required.